As you may have noticed, it’s largely raining outside at the moment and the leaves are falling from the trees with gay abandon. Yes folks, autumn is all but here after a brief heatwave (or ‘summer’, as it used to be known), and that can mean only one thing: it’s time to get down to some serious football betting.
This Saturday’s Premier League fixtures look a particularly fruitful bunch – if everything goes as expected, that is – so let’s take a peek at the games being played and see if we can spot any betting value to be had.
Hull City vs Arsenal (Saturday, 3pm)
In bygone year this fixture has proven to be a gimmie: Arsenal have won on their last five visits to Hull. But the suggestion is that a slightly different pattern could pervade this week’s meeting.
The Tigers have been outstanding so far this season, and but for an unfortunate defeat to Manchester United would remain as one of the few unbeaten sides in the Premier League. These good results have been fully deserved too, so full credit to Mike Phelan and his side.
Arsenal’s campaign has been littered with good fortune: they should have lost to Leicester after the Foxes had two stonewall penalty claims denied, and they needed a 90th minute penalty themselves to see off Southampton last week. Factor in the four goals conceded against Liverpool and the absolute daylight robbery in Paris in midweek, and we can safely say this has been far from a vintage campaign for the Gunners so far.
Consequently, we’re more than happy to back Hull in the Double Chance market at 11/8 with bet365. That’s a great price considering what we know about the two sides.
Manchester City vs Bournemouth (Saturday, 3pm)
Five wins out of five and most of them with staggering ease: Pep Guardiola has hit Manchester City like a runaway train, and the new system and personnel in place are cantering to the Premier League title – as ridiculously early in the season as it is.
City on their own patch usually means a home win, and the 5-1 beating they doled out to Saturday’s opponents Bournemouth last season was about as comprehensive as it gets. The Cherries were also tonked by Manchester United (1-3) and Tottenham (0-3) on the road, and 8/19 that Man City played at home last season were won by a margin of two goals or more.
The Manchester City -1 handicap is very generously priced at 4/5 with Coral.
Everton vs Middlesbrough (Saturday, 5:30pm)
The start that Everton have made under Ronald Koeman has been nothing short of exceptional, and the vigour with which they are attacking is a joy to behold.
Defensively Koeman has shown his stripes in the transfer market: Ashley Williams was a sensible purchase while Idrissa Gueye will prove to be a masterstroke as a defensive midfield shield: only N’Golo Kante was better last season in that position.
Middlesbrough’s solid but unspectacular start has been expected, but they do look a decent enough side to comfortably avoid relegation. Their double pivot in front of the back four, Adams Clayton and Forshaw, is really impressive.
But the Boro have yet to come up against a side as lethal in the final third as Everton, and with Romelu Lukaku back amongst the goals it could be a long journey home for the North East side. Take the Toffees to prosper at 4/6 with Betfair.